theotherguy
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MSNBC said:The Federal Reserve's decision to cut its target for short-term interest rates to as low as zero reflects the reality of a central bank scrambling to apply a new set of monetary tools to battle the deepening recession.
?These are extraordinary times that call for extraordinary measures,? said Robert McTeer, former president of the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank.
In an unprecedented move, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and his colleagues Tuesday set a new target range for overnight lending between banks at zero to 0.25 percent, down from the previous target of 1 percent.
With short-term interest rates already close to zero, the Fed has been moving to a strategy known as ?quantitative easing? ? essentially dumping money into the economy to make credit easier to get. Early in his tenure as a board member, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke described the policy by likening it to dropping money from a helicopter, a speech that earned him the nickname ?Helicopter Ben.?
?The (target interest) rate is the least important issue right now,? said Diane Swonk, chief financial officer of Mesirow Financial. ?It will be the alternative actions ? the helicopter in the sky and how much money they're going to drop from the helicopter.?
Under normal circumstances, this flood of government spending and asset purchases by the Fed would pose a major risk of inflation. Economists say that long-term threat is very real. But for the moment, the ongoing drop in prices of assets like housing and stocks to commodities like gasoline has pushed that inflation risk into the future.
At some point, once the economy begins to recover, the Fed will face yet another monumental challenge: how to drain trillions of dollars of excess cash from the economy to avoid a new bout of inflation or another credit bubble. If it starts draining money too soon, it risks throwing the economy into another slide. That means the Fed?s outsized role in managing the economy with its new strategy will likely remain in place for some time to come, according to Credit Suisse chief economist Neil Soss.
?There is no exit strategy from this entanglement, anywhere,? he wrote in a note to clients this week.
This is very VERY bad. Remember Zimbabwe? Remember Germany during the Great Depression? The government has run out of options, and is now printing new money. In the short term, this will get credit going again, but in the long term, it could mean hyperinflation.