VictimOfScience
Newbie
- Joined
- Feb 24, 2005
- Messages
- 7,020
- Reaction score
- 1
From Stratfor's latest Terrorism Intelligence Report:
Definitely strange to have the Taliban discussing terrorist operations on foreign soil given who they are. Why don't they leave it to AQ?
And Canada: glad to have you in the trenches with us, but I really wish no one had to be in those trenches...
An al Qaeda strategist issued a statement over the weekend threatening that unless Canada withdraws its troops from Afghanistan, it will face terrorist attacks similar to 9/11 or the Madrid and London train bombings. Given al Qaeda's penchant for issuing threats, this statement by itself does not indicate a particularly heightened level of risk for Canadians, who have been in al Qaeda's crosshairs since the jihadist war with the West began. But then, al Qaeda is not known for making one-off threats.
In fact, the statement -- attributed to Hossam Abdul Raouf, a member of al Qaeda's information and strategy committee -- marked the second time in recent weeks that jihadists have singled out Canada for special mention over the prominent role it is playing in Afghanistan. In September, Ayman al-Zawahiri referred to the Canadian troops in Kandahar as "second-rate Crusaders." Along with these remarks has come a separate warning from the Taliban, threatening attacks on the soil of European countries that are part of the NATO offensive in Afghanistan.
That is worth saying again, with emphasis: The Taliban -- a nationalist religious movement -- threatened to carry out attacks against civilians on foreign soil, blurring the already fuzzy line between the Afghan group and its transnational militant counterpart, al Qaeda.
The timing of all of these statements centering on Afghanistan seems hardly accidental. In Canada, there is growing sentiment that Prime Minister Stephen Harper's Conservative government is putting the country at risk by aiding what is perceived as, in truth, Washington's war. Canadian forces were deployed to Afghanistan under a Liberal government, but the Harper administration extended the length of the mission and, critics say, changed the mandate from peacekeeping to insurgent-fighting. With recent news that Canada is preparing to send Leopard tanks and CF-18 fighter jets into the fray, the country's military capabilities will be fully represented in Afghanistan -- and there is no fallback position if it then fails to defeat the Taliban. Voters also are dissatisfied over the absence of milestones by which to chart progress or determine an end point for the mission, and they are worried about the possibility of terrorist strikes on their own soil.
The general tenor of discussion is not unlike that in the United States, where the tally of Iraq war casualties is now a daily drumbeat underlying news coverage of the congressional election campaigns. There are some crucial differences, however: Because Afghanistan was a sanctuary for al Qaeda for years, the military invasion has never excited the kinds of political controversies that surround the Iraq war effort. While the attention of Americans and much of the world remains riveted on Iraq, the campaign in Afghanistan continues to grind away. But the outcome of this campaign -- at least as much as that in Iraq, if not more so -- has direct implications for the "global war on terrorism." As such, it bears careful consideration.
Definitely strange to have the Taliban discussing terrorist operations on foreign soil given who they are. Why don't they leave it to AQ?
And Canada: glad to have you in the trenches with us, but I really wish no one had to be in those trenches...