Sedako
Chuck Steak
- Joined
- May 18, 2004
- Messages
- 3,604
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Oh shit. Basically the US is fecked in the ass.
Better to get ****ed now for a few years than ****ed forever like the bill passing would of resulted in. Personally I'm impressed the Republicans didn't vote it through, the whole think stank to high heaven.
I didn't look at it that way. Basically they were looking for a short term answer rather than looking at the bigger picture of what $700 BILLION of debt would do to our economy down the road.
No matter what they say, no matter how many scare words they use, they are up to their old tricks of creating fear and confusion in order to make and keep themselves and the upper one percent filthy rich.
The bailout is actually rather necessary, I'm afraid.
Care to elaborate why it's so necessary?
Better to get ****ed now for a few years than ****ed forever like the bill passing would of resulted in. Personally I'm impressed the Republicans didn't vote it through, the whole think stank to high heaven. This allows the market to re evaluate itself naturally.
It boils down to companies (not people) being unable to get loans. The vast majority (90+%) of companies in my experience use lines of credit as a way to leverage their business to grow and improve. If you were to suddenly prevent these companies from obtaining lines of credit, one of two things will happen:
1) The company will cease to grow
2) The company will fail
Number 1 sucks, but Number 2 is what is apparently happening in our current economy (AIG, WaMu, etc). Thus, if a company fails, it means that people working for that company will loose their job. Luckily, it is not bad because other companies can buy those failed companies, but after a while, if enough companies fail, there will not be enough healthy companies to absorb those failed companies. Which is starting to happen. Can you name any other major financial institutions that have not absorbed one or more financial institutions in the past few months?
So if Congress passes this bailout, the thinking is it will unfreeze the credit markets and allow companies to at least survive this recession which means fewer jobs lost.
I'm personally against the bailout though. We need some fundamental corrections to the economy based upon what has unfolded over the past decade. Those changes won't happen if a bailout happens because the pain of what is happening would be spread over 10+ years. Additionally, there is no guarantee this will work. I believe that the companies will use the bailout money to shield them from market risk that is existing in Europe and Asia.
PS - Democrats = Socialistic Economy. Republicans = Free Market Economy. That should explain why so few republicans backed the bailout. It has nothing to do with President Bush, it has everything to do with party beliefs.
Better to get ****ed now for a few years than ****ed forever like the bill passing would of resulted in. Personally I'm impressed the Republicans didn't vote it through, the whole think stank to high heaven. This allows the market to re evaluate itself naturally.
Enjoy your economical AIDS America.
*grabs popcorn and enjoys the show*
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KIIy_CVF7PA
I would like to see some more detailed arguments from both sides - the bailout is necessary, the bailout is stupid.
But what I do know is that firms which have spent the last decade using financial instruments and tax havens to dodge their debts, all the while castigating any suggestion of government intervention or regulation as 'market distortion' are now demanding - and getting - huge bailouts which will be paid for by the public, and not those parts of it who seem to have incurred these current problems.
And sniping at Pelosi, like Raz mentioned, wow, that was pathetic. Horrifying, when you consider the mentality behind it. We're talking about a world-changing decision over whether or not the state should step in and intervene in a failing market, and these people are basically saying, to quote Barney Frank, that "because somebody hurt their feelings, they decided to punish the country." WTF is this? Even a primary school kid would recognise that sort of behaviour as childish.
That said, like Sulkd00ds I would like to see some more detailed arguments for either side. In my case that's because, like McCain, the economy is not my strong suit and I'm finding it hard to be anything but ambivalent. In principle, the bailout seems an awful idea because essentially it's rewarding bad business practice with the promise of infinite government backing. The problem, however, is that at this point America has already come too far down a road of allowing its financial institutions to operate with recklessness and cynicism, so that if the state now neglects to keep its hands clean out of 'principle' - hoping that the markets will 'self-correct naturally' - it's too little too late by far. The consequence won't just be a few fatcats getting their just desserts, but millions of ordinary people feeling the burn as market confidence bottoms out completely.
The economy is not my strong suit - hell, i actively avoid learning about it, at least in an official context - but self-correction doesn't ring true to me, and I think it'll be the ordinary people who will suffer.
LOL@Republican phobia of lifting a finger to interfere with the market.
And sniping at Pelosi, like Raz mentioned, wow, that was pathetic. Horrifying, when you consider the mentality behind it. We're talking about a world-changing decision over whether or not the state should step in and intervene in a failing market, and these people are basically saying, to quote Barney Frank, that "because somebody hurt their feelings, they decided to punish the country." WTF is this? Even a primary school kid would recognise that sort of behaviour as childish.
That said, like Sulkd00ds I would like to see some more detailed arguments for either side. In my case that's because, like McCain, the economy is not my strong suit and I'm finding it hard to be anything but ambivalent. In principle, the bailout seems an awful idea because essentially it's rewarding bad business practice with the promise of infinite government backing. The problem, however, is that at this point America has already come too far down a road of allowing its financial institutions to operate with recklessness and cynicism, so that if the state now neglects to keep its hands clean out of 'principle' - hoping that the markets will 'self-correct naturally' - it's too little too late by far. The consequence won't just be a few fatcats getting their just desserts, but millions of ordinary people feeling the burn as market confidence bottoms out completely.
Surely the priority now is not to maintain some kind of consistency of principle, but rather damage limitation?
...Is any part of that glaringly stupid? :angel:
World markets are heavily tied to American markets you dumbshit.
But won't a potential crash penalise you too, in that it penalises eveyone? Isn't it better to shore up confidence in the market in order to buy time so that those institutions in peril can trade their bad assets for good ones (essentially bringing a bit of sanity back to the system)?A few fatcats? In my opinion a large portion of the US economy had this coming. Really who do you think should be at fault in this situation:
1) Person buying a house that knew they couldn't afford that home. This person literally went from paying rent of 900 USD to 2,800 USD a month before utilities and other home owners expenses.
2) The real estate agent so desperate to close a deal, she was willing to pay the first month of mortgage payments for people unable to afford the first month of mortgage payment. This real estate agent gross over 190,000 a year in real estate commissions.
3) The loan officer who rubber stamped or lied on applications to have loans sold when those loans had no business being approved.
4) The mortgage company executive willing to write loans and then bundle those loans as a safe investment.
5) Investors betting heavily in real estate even though historically real estate has not performed substantially better than the stock market.
6) The people who realize that they are going to have their home foreclosed on, so they either A) trash the house or B) stop paying the mortgage so they have some savings. Either option they have little impact on their lives other than a few years of bad credit which doesn't matter because people with good credit are unable to obtain loans right now.
I personally know people involved in 1, 2, 3, 5, and 6. I hate to say this as some of these people are friends of mine, but they all deserve this coming to them. A person with any common sense could have told them this was going to happen, but they decided to let this happen.
Really the 700+ USD bailout will do nothing but allow this type of behavior to continue. And it unfairly penalizes people like me who responsible. I am still living in an apartment because I knew that I could've purchased a home, but knew I wouldn't have been able to realistically afford the payments every month.
But won't a potential crash penalise you too, in that it penalises eveyone? Isn't it better to shore up confidence in the market in order to buy time so that those institutions in peril can trade their bad assets for good ones (essentially bringing a bit of sanity back to the system)?
While I agree with you that everyone in those situations outlined has something bad coming to them, there is a different weight of responsibility on each of them, not least because people of types 1) and 6) far outnumber the others.
Although I think it should and can be discouraged, the people on the consumer end of the wedge are always going to be trying to live beyond their means, angling for ridiculous deals that they can't afford - you can never fully eliminate this kind of behaviour. That's why credit checks and so forth exist, so that there is a means of distinguishing those people from others from whom there is a genuine chance of seeing some capital flow. Lenders and private enterprise can't just say 'we gave them what they wanted! we're ALL to blame in the end...'
Someone who borrows from a loanshark can be criticised for being stupid, for instance, but it's the shark that should be criticised on deeper moral grounds since they are the one in a position of power in that relationship. Terrible analogy I know, but once I started typing it I couldn't be bothered to think of a better one.
delusional said:From what I've read the repeal of the glass-steagall act in 1999, is partly responsible for this economic crisis.
Ok, in theory credit is stupid. We shouldn't have a society that allows people to live far beyond their means.1) Person buying a house that knew they couldn't afford that home. This person literally went from paying rent of 900 USD to 2,800 USD a month before utilities and other home owners expenses.
2) The real estate agent so desperate to close a deal, she was willing to pay the first month of mortgage payments for people unable to afford the first month of mortgage payment. This real estate agent gross over 190,000 a year in real estate commissions.
3) The loan officer who rubber stamped or lied on applications to have loans sold when those loans had no business being approved.
4) The mortgage company executive willing to write loans and then bundle those loans as a safe investment.
5) Investors betting heavily in real estate even though historically real estate has not performed substantially better than the stock market.
6) The people who realize that they are going to have their home foreclosed on, so they either A) trash the house or B) stop paying the mortgage so they have some savings. Either option they have little impact on their lives other than a few years of bad credit which doesn't matter because people with good credit are unable to obtain loans right now.
When you're flying an airplane, and the airplane stalls (the angle of attack is such that the wing ceases to provide lift), you have two options:But won't a potential crash penalise you too, in that it penalises eveyone? Isn't it better to shore up confidence in the market in order to buy time so that those institutions in peril can trade their bad assets for good ones (essentially bringing a bit of sanity back to the system)?
If something doesn't work in theory, it will work worse in practice. Humans will **** it up every time.Ok, in theory credit is stupid. We shouldn't have a society that allows people to live far beyond their means
I wouldn't necessarily say that just yet. In fact, the repeal of portions of that act is what is preventing this from being a true economic disaster in proportions we haven't seen since the great depression. However, give it 10-20 years for people to forget why that rule existed and why bank holding companies can own investment companies, we will conveniently create a good chance for a depression.
I agree.Certainly people are going to suffer, but self correction will bring the markets down to a natural equilibrium in terms of genuine finance rather than purported. The bailout would of just been a means to prop up a false and failing economy for another year or two at best. It wouldn't really guarantee long term stability.
Largest drop in the DOW today.... EVER.
I don't know how I feel about this 700 billion dollar bailout bill, as I don't like the idea of bailing out CEO's and other executive types and basically rewarding them for this shit storm, but I thought the bill was reworked to not allow this and to help protect taxpayers and the people...
The response of republicans, "We didn't do it because of Nanci Pelosi trying to make us look bad."
Great... so you're going to let her words get to you and vote opposite of what you probably would have initially voted for? And you're complaining about HER politics!?